GOLF.com: 2026 U.S. Open Odds Preview — Scheffler and McIlroy Headline the Field at Shinnecock Hills

A Historic Stage at Shinnecock Hills

The 2026 U.S. Open tees off this week at Shinnecock Hills on Long Island, New York — one of American golf's most storied venues. The early odds reflect a familiar storyline: the two highest-ranked players in the world sitting atop the board.

Top Contenders

Scottie Scheffler (+550) leads all players in the opening odds. Despite being favored at both the Masters and the PGA Championship this year, he came away without a win (2nd and T14, respectively). Scheffler already holds four major titles, but the U.S. Open remains conspicuously absent from his resume. A win at Shinnecock would complete his career Grand Slam — adding a compelling storyline to an already loaded field.

Rory McIlroy (+1100) follows in second. The Masters champion comes in with momentum, also posting a T7 at the PGA Championship. His consistency across major venues makes him a genuine threat.

Jon Rahm (+1200) is the first LIV Golf representative to crack the top of the board. His T2 finish at last month's PGA Championship signals that his game is in top form.

Rounding out the top five are Cameron Young (+1800) and Tommy Fleetwood and Xander Schauffele at +2000.

Notably, Hideki Matsuyama checks in at +6000, placing him inside the top 25 and making him one to watch on a course where precision iron play is rewarded.

Strokeslab's Take

The U.S. Open has always been a test of disciplined shot-making over raw power. Expect SG: APP and GIR rates to separate the contenders from the field. Scheffler's quest for the Grand Slam and McIlroy's bid for back-to-back majors make this one of the most compelling U.S. Opens in recent memory.